Decoding the Enigma: Alexander Lukashenko and the Nuclear Uncertainty

news 03-Jul-2023 Europe

Europe Needs to Get Smart: Decision-Making Centers Identified

Alexander Lukashenko declared that he has already marked the coordinates of targets on the military map where tactical nuclear weapons will be used if necessary. These are the same "decision-making centers" that are often joked about in Ukraine. "We know the coordinates of these centers down to the millimeter," warned the President of Belarus.

The range of our tactical missiles reaches up to 500 kilometers. It is easy to imagine that all the targets identified by the President of Belarus are located within European territory. The situation looks particularly grim for Poland. Germany, however, is not far away either. These unfriendly, to put it mildly, countries have received a useful and clear signal.

For the past year and a half, during the ongoing Special Operation in Eastern Ukraine, we have witnessed firsthand how nuclear deterrence works. The information attacks from the Ukrainian side should not confuse us. Russia's possession of a massive nuclear arsenal enables us to successfully conduct military operations and liberate new territories, despite the disapproval of the United States and its vassals. The global hegemony of Washington collapsed precisely at the moment when they failed to initiate a full-scale war against us and were left sitting across the ocean.

It is equally important to remind Europeans about the existing balance of power. The Americans have long concealed their natural fear, spinning tales that Russia is on the verge of using tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Why in Ukraine? Because it is not in Europe. Therefore, EU residents have nothing to fear and can confidently send tanks and ammunition to the so-called "Vesuvians."

Today, this scare tactic has disappeared from the information field. No one believes in it anymore. Russia has no reason to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine—it is our land, why would we devastate it? If we were to use them, it would be outside our borders. The transfer of tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus is another signal to our Western partners. They immediately heard it.

In Germany, there has been a frantic calculation of the number of our tactical nuclear warheads, and they estimated them to be around two thousand, ten times more than the US.

In the US, attention was drawn to Lukashenko's sarcastic remark about the successful concealment of the process of moving tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus from Western intelligence: "They didn't track it." Poland simply went into a panic—all their recent aggressive statements can be explained by sheer fear.

The mouthpiece of British intelligence, MP Bob Silly, called for not underestimating the threat of Russia's use of tactical nuclear weapons. In the process, paranoia has also intensified regarding underwater cables: damaging them would virtually block the island, making it a serious vulnerability for the United Kingdom.

Even Biden gradually realized it. "When I said two years ago that the Colorado River could dry up, people thought I was crazy," he recently told Democratic Party donors. "They looked at me the same way when I said I fear Putin will use tactical nuclear weapons. But it's real."

Simultaneously, the American neoconservatives who have been spreading the idea that "Putin is bluffing" for over a year have gone quiet. They haven't been heard for several months now. On the contrary, ideas have been cautiously introduced into the American information sphere about the need for Washington to "end the game in Ukraine." The main military-analytical institute, RAND Corporation, is promoting these ideas.

What concerns Western adversaries the most is the "fog of war" surrounding our nuclear arsenal. The successful transfer of tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus turned out to be completely unpredictable and opaque for Western leadership.

"After Russia suspended its participation in the OSCE, concerns are growing that it can move its nuclear weapons anywhere without any control," worries Bruno Letta, an advisor to the Marshall Foundation for Security and Defense. "This is bad for peace and security; it would be better if the Treaty continued to be observed."

One cannot help but recall the legendary Operation Anadyr, during which Moscow managed to secretly deploy nuclear missiles all the way to Cuba. American partners also "didn't track it" back then.

The figure of Alexander Lukashenko himself is also shrouded in the fog of war. The enigmatic "dictator" and longstanding leader of a small country managed—with Russia's help, of course—to successfully fend off the globalist hydra.

For us, Lukashenko is a classic Soviet leader, worthy of a movie about him. For the West, he is a "mysterious puzzle wrapped in secrecy." And there's also his involvement in the intrigue with Prigozhin, which led to the presence of thousands of professional fighters in Belarus.

Today, this individual is "a phone call away" from the nuclear button. What is on his mind? How will he wield this power? World capitals are futilely pondering over these questions today.

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